Forsa poll of 31 January 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 25 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,008
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD20.0%±0
- CDU19.0%-1.0
- Linke18.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Jan 2018.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 20.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 15 to 25 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Jan 2018, CDU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 3.5 points lower and Grüne 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.5average 22.5
- Grüne +2.5average 14.5
- Linke -1.2average 19.2
- SPD +1.1average 18.9
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- FDP -0.8average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD28
- CDU27
- Linke25
- Grüne24
- AfD16
- FDP10
- SPD + CDU + Linke80 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Grüne79 of 130
- SPD + Linke + Grüne77 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne76 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD71 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD69 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD68 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.