Forsa poll of 4 February 2019 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jan 2019 to 1 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne33.0%+1.0
- CDU23.0%-4.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- SPD9.0%-3.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+2.0
- Others7.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 29 Jan 2019 to 1 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 6.0 points higher and AfD 5.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +6.0average 27.0
- AfD -5.0average 18.0
- SPD -3.0average 12.0
- CDU -2.0average 25.0
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne42
- CDU29
- AfD17
- SPD12
- FDP12
- Linke8
- Grüne + CDU71 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD71 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP71 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + Linke67 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP66 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + Linke62 of 120
- Grüne + FDP + Linke62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.