Single poll

Civey poll of 10 March 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
2 to 9 Mar 2021
Respondents
2,069
Method
Online
  • Grüne32.0%
  • CDU24.0%
  • SPD13.0%
  • AfD12.0%
  • FDP10.0%
  • Linke4.0%
  • Others6.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has Grüne ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 2,069 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 2.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.4average 10.6
  • Grüne -1.3average 33.3
  • Linke +0.6average 3.4
  • FDP -0.4average 10.4
  • CDU -0.3average 24.3
  • AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 42 seatsCDU: 32 seatsSPD: 17 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 13 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne42
  • CDU32
  • SPD17
  • AfD16
  • FDP13
  • Grüne + CDU74 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD75 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP72 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP71 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD65 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP62 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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