Institut
YouGov-Umfrage: aktuelle Sonntagsfrage
Neueste Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl vom 20. Oktober 2026: AfD 28,0 %, CDU/CSU 18,0 %, Grüne 16,0 %, SPD 14,0 %, Linke 10,0 %, FDP 5,0 %. 137 Umfragen seit 25. April 2017, davon 10 im Jahr 2026. Neueste Veröffentlichung am 20. Oktober 2026. Auftraggeber zuletzt: YouGov.
Eigene Analyse
Wie misst YouGov im Vergleich?
Hauseffekt seit 20. Oktober 2025 im Bund: CDU/CSU -1,2, AfD +0,6, BSW +0,5 gegenüber dem Mittel der anderen Institute (12 Umfragen). Treffsicherheit: Platz 11 von 13 mit im Schnitt 1,8 Punkten Abweichung je Partei bei 6 Wahlen seit 2017. Alle Institute im Vergleich.
- CDU/CSU -1,2
- AfD +0,6
- BSW +0,5
- FDP +0,4
- Linke -0,2
- SPD +0,1
- Grüne ±0
| Wahl | Umfrage vom | Ø Abweichung | Größte Verfehlung |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bundestag 23.02.2025 | 21.02.2025 | 0,6 | Grüne +1,4 |
| Europawahl 09.06.2024 | 24.05.2024 | 1,9 | AfD +4,1 |
| Nordrhein-Westfalen 15.05.2022 | 13.05.2022 | 2,8 | CDU -4,7 |
| Bundestag 26.09.2021 | 23.09.2021 | 1,5 | CDU/CSU -3,1 |
| Bundestag 24.09.2017 | 21.09.2017 | 2,1 | CDU/CSU +3,1 |
| Nordrhein-Westfalen 14.05.2017 | 11.05.2017 | 1,9 | FDP -3,6 |
Bund
Alle YouGov-Umfragen zur Bundestagswahl
131 Umfragen seit 9. Mai 2017, neueste zuerst; je Zeile Datum, Werte, Befragungszeitraum und Fallzahl.
| Institut | Veröffentlicht | AfD | CDU/CSU | Grüne | SPD | Linke | FDP | BSW | Sonstige | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 20.10.2026 | 28 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 15.09.2026 | 29 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 18.08.2026 | 28 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 14.07.2026 | 27 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 16.06.2026 | 29 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 12.05.2026 | 28 | 22 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 15.04.2026 | 27 | 23 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 17.03.2026 | 26 | 26 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 11.02.2026 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 14.01.2026 | 25 | 25 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 17.12.2025 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 19.11.2025 | 25 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 15.10.2025 | 26 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 17.09.2025 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 20.08.2025 | 25 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 16.07.2025 | 25 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 18.06.2025 | 23 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 14.05.2025 | 25 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 30.04.2025 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 3 | ||
| YouGov | 26.03.2025 | 24 | 26 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 21.02.2025 | 20 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 18.02.2025 | 20 | 27 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 12.02.2025 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 05.02.2025 | 22 | 29 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 29.01.2025 | 23 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 22.01.2025 | 19 | 28 | 15 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 15.01.2025 | 21 | 30 | 14 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 08.01.2025 | 21 | 29 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 05.12.2024 | 19 | 30 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 14.11.2024 | 19 | 33 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 10.10.2024 | 18 | 32 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 13.09.2024 | 18 | 32 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 16.08.2024 | 19 | 31 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 05.07.2024 | 19 | 30 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 07.06.2024 | 18 | 29 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 10.05.2024 | 19 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 11.04.2024 | 19 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 07.03.2024 | 19 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 08.02.2024 | 20 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 11.01.2024 | 24 | 29 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 08.12.2023 | 23 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 10.11.2023 | 22 | 29 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 5 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 13.10.2023 | 21 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 5 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 08.09.2023 | 23 | 29 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 5 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 04.08.2023 | 23 | 27 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 5 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 07.07.2023 | 21 | 27 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 6 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 09.06.2023 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 5 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 12.05.2023 | 17 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 5 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 06.04.2023 | 17 | 30 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 6 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 10.03.2023 | 17 | 28 | 16 | 20 | 7 | 6 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 10.02.2023 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 19 | 6 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 13.01.2023 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 8 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 22.12.2022 | 14 | 30 | 17 | 19 | 5 | 7 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 11.11.2022 | 16 | 29 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 5 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 14.10.2022 | 15 | 29 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 16.09.2022 | 14 | 29 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 12.08.2022 | 14 | 27 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 08.07.2022 | 12 | 28 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 7 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 10.06.2022 | 12 | 30 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 7 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 12.05.2022 | 10 | 28 | 19 | 20 | 5 | 9 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 14.04.2022 | 12 | 26 | 18 | 21 | 6 | 9 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 11.03.2022 | 11 | 26 | 16 | 23 | 6 | 9 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 21.02.2022 | 11 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 7 | 9 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 28.01.2022 | 12 | 26 | 15 | 23 | 8 | 8 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 17.12.2021 | 11 | 23 | 16 | 27 | 6 | 10 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 26.11.2021 | 12 | 23 | 16 | 25 | 6 | 11 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 23.09.2021 | 12 | 21 | 14 | 25 | 7 | 11 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 16.09.2021 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 25 | 8 | 10 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 10.09.2021 | 12 | 21 | 15 | 26 | 6 | 10 | – | 10 | ||
| YouGov | 03.09.2021 | 12 | 20 | 15 | 25 | 8 | 13 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 27.08.2021 | 11 | 22 | 16 | 24 | 8 | 13 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 30.07.2021 | 12 | 28 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 12 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 02.07.2021 | 11 | 30 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 11 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 27.05.2021 | 11 | 26 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 12 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 30.04.2021 | 11 | 24 | 25 | 14 | 8 | 11 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 01.04.2021 | 11 | 27 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 10 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 26.02.2021 | 11 | 33 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 8 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 04.02.2021 | 10 | 36 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 7 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 06.01.2021 | 10 | 36 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 6 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 26.11.2020 | 10 | 37 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 6 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 30.10.2020 | 12 | 35 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 6 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 25.09.2020 | 12 | 35 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 5 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 28.08.2020 | 11 | 36 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 5 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 06.08.2020 | 11 | 36 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 6 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 26.06.2020 | 11 | 37 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 5 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 28.05.2020 | 11 | 37 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 5 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 30.04.2020 | 11 | 37 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 5 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 03.04.2020 | 12 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 6 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 06.03.2020 | 14 | 27 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 18.12.2019 | 15 | 27 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 7 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 27.11.2019 | 15 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 7 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 06.11.2019 | 14 | 27 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 7 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 03.10.2019 | 15 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 8 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 11.09.2019 | 14 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 6 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 31.07.2019 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 8 | – | 7 | ||
| YouGov | 03.07.2019 | 13 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 7 | – | 8 | ||
| YouGov | 23.05.2019 | 12 | 29 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 8 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 03.05.2019 | 13 | 29 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 28.03.2019 | 12 | 30 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 27.02.2019 | 13 | 30 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 31.01.2019 | 14 | 32 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 8 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 28.12.2018 | 14 | 30 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 8 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 28.11.2018 | 14 | 27 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 07.11.2018 | 16 | 25 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 10 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 27.09.2018 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 30.08.2018 | 17 | 28 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 25.07.2018 | 17 | 30 | 12 | 17 | 11 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 27.06.2018 | 16 | 30 | 12 | 17 | 11 | 10 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 30.05.2018 | 16 | 33 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 9 | – | 3 | ||
| YouGov | 25.04.2018 | 15 | 32 | 12 | 18 | 10 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 28.03.2018 | 15 | 34 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 8 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 28.02.2018 | 16 | 32 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 8 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 25.01.2018 | 14 | 34 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 8 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 28.12.2017 | 13 | 33 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 29.11.2017 | 13 | 32 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 21.09.2017 | 10 | 36 | 7 | 23 | 10 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 13.09.2017 | 10 | 36 | 8 | 23 | 10 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 06.09.2017 | 11 | 34 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 9 | – | 6 | ||
| YouGov | 30.08.2017 | 10 | 36 | 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 24.08.2017 | 9 | 37 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 8 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 17.08.2017 | 9 | 37 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 10.08.2017 | 9 | 38 | 6 | 24 | 9 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 03.08.2017 | 8 | 37 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 27.07.2017 | 8 | 38 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 13.07.2017 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 24 | 9 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 29.06.2017 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 25 | 9 | 8 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 23.06.2017 | 7 | 36 | 8 | 25 | 10 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 02.06.2017 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 23 | 10 | 9 | – | 4 | ||
| YouGov | 19.05.2017 | 9 | 38 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 9 | – | 3 | ||
| YouGov | 12.05.2017 | 9 | 37 | 7 | 25 | 8 | 9 | – | 5 | ||
| YouGov | 09.05.2017 | 9 | 35 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 7 | – | 5 | ||
| Min – Max | 7–29 | 18–38 | 6–25 | 12–28 | 3–12 | 3–13 | 3–9 | 3–10 | |||
Je Partei ist der niedrigste Wert der Tabelle orange und der höchste grün markiert; die letzte Zeile zeigt die Spanne.
Alle Parlamente
Neueste Umfrage je Wahl
- Bundestag09.05.2017CDU/CSU 35 % · SPD 28 % · Linke 9 %
- Europawahl24.05.2024CDU/CSU 29 % · AfD 20 % · SPD 16 %
- Nordrhein-Westfalen25.04.2017SPD 36 % · CDU 27 % · AfD 11 %